144 years of marriage and divorce in 1 chart

I’ve always been curious about the history of marriage and divorce in the United States. We often hear about how divorce rates are in flux, or how marriage rates are declining, but we’re rarely given a real sense of the long-term trends in marriage and divorce. Since I couldn’t find a chart showing the long-term marriage and divorce trends in the U.S., I decided to crawl through the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) database and collect the data myself.

If you’re not familiar with the NCHS, they publish monthly reports on vital statistics about Americans such as birth rates, death rates, causes of death, and — you guessed it — marriage and divorce rates. Most of the historical data is hidden away in PDFs of these monthly reports, so I had the pleasure of scraping data from scans of dozens of CDC reports that were published 30 years before I was even born. I’ll save you the laborious effort of repeating my scraping efforts by sharing the data set here.

To provide a more visual view of the data set, I charted the per capita marriage and divorce rates below, with a few annotations to denote major historical events.

marriages_divorces_per_capita

Click here for the interactive version of the per capita chart

It’s fascinating to see the effects of WWI and WWII on marriage and divorce rates in the United States. At the beginning of America’s entry into WWI (1917) and WWII (1941), we see notable spikes in marriage rates as the young conscripts rushed to the altar thinking it would be the last time they would see their lover.

Similarly, after the conclusion of WWI (1918) and WWII (1945), those same young men and women coming back from the war seemed eager to elope and start a new life after spending years experiencing the destructive nature of war. Interestingly, the only notable spike in divorce rates in the past 144 years also followed the conclusion of WWII, likely due to many of the pre-WWII marriages coming to an abrupt end once the romance of wartime marriage wore off.

The most notable drop in marriage rates occurred during The Great Depression in the early 1930s, with a sudden 25% drop in marriage rates during America’s greatest time of hardship. It seems when Americans fall on hard times, marriage is one of the first things to take the back seat.

One particularly confusing aspect of this data set was the fact that the post-war era in the 1950s and 1960s seemed to experience a significant drop in marriage rates, despite the fact that the 1950s and 1960s were known as a time of nearly-universal marriage in the U.S.

To provide a clearer view of the 1950s and 1960s, I plotted the raw counts for marriages and divorces below.

marriages_divorces

Click here for the interactive version of the raw counts chart

With the raw counts in hand, the explanation for the drop in per capita marriage rates becomes abundantly clear: People weren’t marrying less in the 1950s and 1960s, but the surge of newborn children during the Baby Boom artificially decreases the per capita rates. Once the Baby Boomers came of age in the 1970s, marriage rates returned to pre-WWII levels — barring a slight drop in marriages during the dramatic conclusion of the Vietnam War (1975).

Looking to more recent history, there has been a steady decline in marriage rates (and consequently, divorce rates) since the 1980s, with no sign of slowing down. In fact, when taking population into account, marriage rates in the U.S. are now at the lowest they’ve ever been in recorded U.S. history — even lower than during The Great Depression!

If you think you know why marriage rates have been declining in the U.S. since the 1980s, I’d be curious to hear your theories in the comments.

Dr. Randy Olson is a Senior Data Scientist at the University of Pennsylvania, where he develops state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms with a focus on biomedical applications.

Posted in data visualization Tagged with: , ,
  • Adam

    Student debt load + economy that’s not quite as roaring as it has been in previous decades = reluctance to get married/start family/buy house (etc.)

    • Makes sense to me. Similar situation during The Great Depression and similar outcome.

    • Moiz

      Bullshit. The most babies are being born and most marriages are happening to those who are poorest.

      • Bobby Bouche

        Like Somalia…

    • But by the same token, resistance to divorce as folks feel “stuck” in their spousal living arrangements

  • Amy

    I think marriage rates and patterns may vary by economic status – that the decline will be much greater for people with lower economic status. Have you tried breaking it down in this way?

    • Interesting idea! However, I don’t think the CDC breaks these statistics down by economic status — at least not for the long time period shown.

    • Bobby Bouche

      No matter how you break it down ; marriage rates are worse than they’ve ever been. The same can’t be said about the economy…It’s bad, but it’s been worse financially in this country..Marriage rates along with alot of other bad things are happening to this country. These things are allowed to happen when they social stigma of society is silenced by “Hyper- PC”. You can challenge nothing when your demonized for just speaking…

  • Northern_Design

    I would hypothesize education, gains in gender equality, mobility, and declining religious affiliation all contribute to falling marriage rates in recent times. It’s probably much more nuanced, however, and I would be curious to see your own conclusions in a future post.

    • Frank Manatos

      Wouldn’t an increase in education cause greater emotional intelligence and hence less verbal, emotional, and physical spousal violence which in turn would increase marriage and/or decrease divorce? Wouldn’t increased mobility allow one to choose from a greater cross-section of potential spouses and thus increase compatibility which in turn would increase marriage and/or decrease divorce? Wouldn’t gains in gender equality also allow one to choose from a greater cross-section of potential spouses as well and/or result in less financial dependence of women on men which in turn should increase marriage and/or decrease divorce?

      Thanks for the pro-feminist post anyway.

  • Why are marriage/divorce rates per capita instead of per single/married? I guess it’s hard to define eligibility. Here’s a graph I made based on single/married 16-50 year olds. It missing your 80s bump in marriage rates, presumably because my denominator is more affected by the adult baby boomers. And there’s no 2000s divorce rate drop since the number of married people also started declining in 2000.

    Tweet: https://twitter.com/xangregg/status/610900129160105984

    • Thank you for sharing this! I think this is a good step toward addressing the issue that the age distribution of the population can affect the per capita rates.

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    • Grant

      Nice! I’d like to see 16+ instead of 16-50, though. People get married and divorced way after 50.

      • Thanks. Yes, it’s a bit of an arbitrary cut-off for “active” marrying years. Unfortunately it’s hard to experiment with the range because it’s an up-front part of the census data query.

  • Andrew

    Is there any way to determine the average age that people are getting married? If it can be shown that the average age of people getting married is increasing while the population stays (relatively) the same, then this could explain the decrease per capita.

    • sfhldl

      Average age of marriage is indeed rising: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Age_at_first_marriage

      • Bobby Bouche

        No it’s not, that’s the feminists excuse…The longer you chicks wait, the longer your womb gets “polluted”. “Another quelude, she’ll love me in the morning”. -Tony Montana

  • iopq

    The reason why marriage rates went down is because it became worse for people with higher income to marry someone who would just divorce rape them a few years later. It used to be common for men to marry women who made less money than them, but faced with possibly having to pay alimony, child support, etc. it has become more scary to marry someone who doesn’t make a lot of money themselves.

    • baklazhan

      You’re wrong. Marriage rates have declined much more sharply among low-income people, while rich people are getting married only slightly less often than they were decades ago. You can find some articles on the subject by googling “marriage rates by income level”.

    • sfhldl

      Alimony is not a new phenomenon. In modern western civilisation, it actually pre-dates divorce; when divorce was illegal, a husband had a continuing obligation to support his wife, who was typically not allowed into the workforce, regardless of whether they were separated. The earliest alimony laws date back to 1700 B.C.

      As women have gone into the workforce in greater numbers, laws were passed to ensure there was no gender bias in alimony awards. Of course many couples choose- as a couple- for the woman to sacrifice her career to have children. Our family made the same choice. I would not have gotten married and had kids if there were no legal guarantees that my husband couldn’t reneg on our agreement to financially support myself and our children; otherwise I would have had a career and been childless.

      If your main objection to marriage is that you can’t marry a woman, expect her to sacrifice her career in order to bear your children and raise them, and then walk off one day leaving them all penniless, then good. Marriage is not for you. It’s a contract between two people that allows finances to be legally joined so that both parties, and the children, are protected in case of dissolution.

      • iopq

        What you forget is that alimony was paid in cases where it was the husband’s fault (marital misconduct) that the marriage ended. This changed with no-fault divorces, you may be forced to pay alimony even if the wife wanted a divorce without any reason.

        What you say is right, if I don’t want to pay a lot of money if my wife wants to divorce me, marriage is not for me. Increasingly, a lot of men are coming to the same conclusion, hence marriage rates have gone down.

        • Kes

          I’d argue that many women for whom marriage and children was the only (socially acceptable) option several decades ago can now live their lives on their terms, and do not need to be beholden to a man to be independent and successful. Thus, marriage rates have declined because women are no longer coerced into the institution for lack of better options.

          • Moiz

            This kills the birthrate.

            Immigration save us now.

            I’m in Japan. The atmosphere about the future is miserable.

            • Bobby Bouche

              Immigration puts national security in peril…R.I.P. Kate..

          • Bobby Bouche

            Your vagina prob. looks like a “dirty mop”.

        • Bobby Bouche

          Nice comeback.

      • Juan

        I hope you realize that there is no guarantee he will be compelled to support you beyond what extra you can get from child support. The courts are quite arbitrary. In my experience child support is virtually guaranteed for a woman if the ex-husband is doing well. (About 63 percent of custodial mothers and 39 percent of fathers had child support agreed or awarded to them. [http://family.findlaw.com/child-support/child-support-statistics-and-trends.html]) I’m thinking that 37% must include fathers that could not be found, are in jail, or in the funny farm.

        Marriage is hardly a contract. One generally expects both parties to be able to enforce the terms of a contract. As a bitter male using a fake id I can say that I don’t think we can enforce our terms. Certainly not that she will love us as long as we both shall live.

  • John Ax

    I’m pretty sure people enjoy life through Tinder. So why marry? On top of that no one has money.

    • Bobby Bouche

      LMAO

  • chels

    Divorce seems to have spiked/peaked in the 1980’s. The children of those failed marriages are the ones of marrying age now. Nothing like growing up in a broken home to kill the romanticization of marriage.

    • Kes

      A “broken home”? What *is* that, exactly? Plenty of people did not divorce during their children’s childhoods and still managed to have perfectly dreadful marriages and home lives. The divorce rates peaked in the ’80s because it was finally acceptable to walk away from horrible marriages, and that’s exactly what many people did. I’m sure lots of their children would thank them for not prolonging the misery.

      • Bobby Bouche

        Another Feminist excuse…

    • Okay_Player

      Single parent and step-parent households are not “broken homes.” This lie is gross.

    • Bobby Bouche

      Not to mention, the Pope condones it…

  • Please

    Why is a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Pennsylvania incorrectly using the word “theories” when he knows damned well it should be hyphotheses?

    • baklazhan

      Probably because he’s using the colloquial definition of “theory”, since he’s writing for a general audience.

    • Leo Staley

      A theory is an explanation. A hypothesis is a prediction based on that theory which may be falsified or verified via experimentation.

      • Fa Ek

        That is just not correct. In scientific discussions, a theory means something quite specific. Wiki says it better than I ever could:

        “The formal scientific definition of “theory” is quite different from the everyday meaning of the word. It refers to a comprehensive explanation of some aspect of nature that is supported by a vast body of evidence.”

        This is why people that say “evolution is just a theory” are full of nonsense. Saying something is a scientific theory is quite a strong statement. As this is a (pseudo-)scientific discussion, he is being appropriately criticized for his misuse.

      • Bobby Bouche

        Or an “educated guess”

  • JimmyNashville

    Because there is declining stigma to sex outside marriage anymore.

    • Brian

      I completely agree! A point I would like to add to that is the children that were born during the divorce spike in the 70’s through 90’s are now of marriable age, but are choosing not to get married because they are afraid of the negative consequences of a potential divorce affecting any children they might have. I am sure that we have all seen the many reports on how divorce affects children. Any person who has lived through the trauma of their parents getting divorced is not likely to want to to put their own children through the same experience. The mindset becomes, it is easier just to have sex with whoever and not bother getting married at all.

  • idlewild

    I know! I know! It’s because marriage sucks.

  • Millard Fillmore

    didn’t you already point out that marriage rates dropped during economic depression?

  • Tracker

    Divorce rape is a real thing. You can lose access to your kids and all of your resources. If you can’t pay alimony or child support because you lose your job you can go to jail. It’s not how it’s supposed to work, and it usually doesn’t work like that, but it does happen (especially to poor, minority demographics), and more and more people are being more vocal about it. No matter you slice it marriage is a bad contract for the higher earning spouse when the lower earning spouse can (and frequently do) walk away for any or no reason.

    Now this is going to sound like fatpeoplehate or misogynistic, but hear me out. The prime age bracket for people to get married in is 20-29. That is when people tend to peak in terms of physical attractiveness and fertility. In 1960 the average height and weight for women aged 20-29 was 5″4′ 127 lbs. In 2010 it was 5″5′ 161 lbs, a 1 inch 34 lbs increase. That is simply not attractive, and that’s average. I understand a lot of guys do not find extreme overweightness (even if it is “average” these days) a marriage deal breaker, but a lot do. So the supply of marriageable women (for a large portion men) is low.

    • Tracker

      Here are my source BTW: page 8 -http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/ad/ad347.pdf and page 8 (report page 8, pdf page 14)- http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/series/sr_11/sr11_252.pdf. And for anyone curious about men in the same age bracket the average height and weight in 1960 was 5″9′ 163.9 lbs vs 5″9″ 183.9 lbs in 2010.

    • Michael

      You can’t just invent a term with “rape” tacked on to the end and call it a “real thing.” All you end up doing is discrediting any point you’re trying to make while taking away from the revulsion that the actual act of rape should elicit. But maybe you view victimhood as a zero sum game, and think the only way to elevate one group’s artificial sense of self-persecution is to diminish the pain experienced by real-life victims of rape?

      Yikes.

      Married men can be unattractive too, you know. Are you married? Divorced? How attractive would you say you are? I’m only asking because, from experience, the kind of people who spew the type of narrow-minded misogyny that you’ve posted above usually skew towards the “yuck” end of the physical attraction scale. Would love to see a selfie if you wouldn’t mind.

      • jason

        Aside from the offsensive-ness of tacking on “rape” to divorce-rape,

        Marriage is increasingly become a joke. Something like 50% end in divorce, and there’s a multi-billion dollar industry around lawyers and family courts that pit couples against one another.

        Where’s the incentive to get married? You have a 1 in 2 chance of it falling apart and who knows how many of the 50% that do stay together are happy. If you do end up getting divorced, for any reason whatsoever, your ex can take you to the cleaners and make your life miserable.

        Several of my male friends have long term girlfriends and are deeply suspicious of getting married. They’ve actually said “divorce is such a financial burden… I don’t want to take that risk.”

        • mac

          And with single women’s entitlement problems and lack of any accountability it is a lose lose proposition for a man, your mates have got it right, they would indeed lose everything especially in the current family court system.

          • Bobby Bouche

            I bet alot of that $ not include in the gender pay gap. Just like all the drinks, dinners, clothes, cars….Buhbuhbuhbuh…BULLSHIT!

        • Bobby Bouche

          If your scared…..Go to church…

      • Frank Manatos

        Sure he can. Psychologists have concluded that contentious divorce is as traumatic as the death of a close loved one. Many if not most people would much rather be raped than have a close loved one die. So actually, calling it “divorce rape” is an understatement when it should be called something like “fiscal murder.”

        • mac

          The truth.

      • Tracker

        I do agree that the term rape gets watered down with inappropriate use. For example calling the culture in the US (or similar countries) a “rape culture”. It cheapens the word. Don’t get me wrong, rape culture is a real thing, but it’s real in places like the Congo. However a bad divorce can cause someone to lose their kids, their money, and their freedom. It completely destroys people. According to the NIHR ” divorce now ranks as the number one factor linked with suicide rates in major U.S. cities”. Comparing it to rape is not an unfair comparison.

        And I’m sorry, but a 161 lbs on a 5″5′ is unattractive. That’s not a misogynistic statement, that’s just a fact. There are men that don’t care, that will make do, and there are those that do find that to be an attractive quality. But for the vast majority of men out there that amount of extra weight is repelling. You can call it a misogyny or a social construct, but that’s really denying reality.

        As for me personally, you’ll have to use your imagination. People say that I look like Jason Statham, but that’s only because I have a similar height, build, and hairline. I’m not ripped like him. I have more of a dad bod. And Mr. Statham is a handsome fellow, he used to be a model. I’m not. I’m not ugly by any means, but I’m not handsome like that. So think of an uglier Jason Statham with a dad bod and that’s me. Never married, never will get married. Marriage is a bad contract.

        • Michael

          The definition of rape is as follows:

          “Penetration, no matter how slight, of the vagina or anus with any body part or object, or oral penetration by a sex organ of another person, without the consent of the victim.”

          A person getting divorced is not vaginally or anally penetrated by a sex organ. So why call it divorce rape? Why not reference another traumatic event that is “bad” and that “destroys people,” like “divorce murder.” Because the term divorce rape is intentionally used to diminish the victims of rape.

          Hundreds of thousands of Americans are victims of rape each year. Over 90% of those victims are women. You can’t diminish their pain by yelping about divorce, or pointing at suffering in other parts of the world.
          And no, the term rape culture doesn’t water down the term rape. 100 years ago the Jim Crow era was alive and well. Black Americans were taken from their families, strung up trees and lynched. Why? The overly simplistic answer would be that there were bad white people doing bad things. The more accurate answer would be that we lived within a lynch culture. Black face, segregation, terms like the N-word or supposed compliments like “that’s mighty white of you,” created a culture in which black lives were devalued, expendable.

          Was wearing black face or calling somebody the N-word as bad as lynching them? No. But both actions contributed to a culture in which human beings were lynched because of their skin color.

          Hate crimes, like incidents of rape, have declined dramatically over the decades. This isn’t because people are less evil, it’s because we’ve been able to address a lot of societal ignorance and hatred towards both ethnic minorities and women. Of course, the gains made are potentially reversible. And for every intellectually ass-backwards post as your two comments above, a small portion of those gains is lost.

          If you believe divorce, custody, and alimony are handled poorly in the U.S., that’s fine. But leave victims of rape and the weight of women out of your f***ing posts. If you really need to shit on half of our nation’s population to make your point, it’s probably a bulls*** point to begin with.

          • Tracker

            The term divorce rape is not ” intentionally used to diminish the victims of rape”, it’s used to convey the sheer life destroying havoc a bad divorce can unleash on someone. “Divorce murder” is not suitable because a murder victim doesn’t suffer for the rest of their life. I’m not going to go on about anything else you said about that because none of it contributes to the original point: why are marriage rates declining.

            I will make one point about the weight however. If you look at the historic numbers from 1960 through 1980 there are only slight weight increases, barely outside the margin of error. Starting with the 1988 numbers the increases are comparably massive. Personally I believe the main cause of this was in 1980 the government first released the Dietary Guideline for Americans, which influence school lunches and food assistance programs, as well as help start this fat phobia where companies started taking out saturated fat in everything and replacing it with HFCS. They don’t ever question the advice, instead they double down, say eat less fat more grains, and if it doesn’t work it’s your fault for watching too much TV or internet or whatever. The DGA was based on poor science, and it’s making our population fat and sick, and it’s disproportionately affecting women. Treating as a gender issue might motivate some change.

            But as far as the original point, a population of woman that weighs an average 161 lbs at 5″5′ is less marriageable than one that weighing 127 lbs at 5″4′. I’m sorry you’re offending by that.

            • Bobby Bouche

              Victim mentality dude…Our countries filled w/ it…The reason?….GREED.

          • Bobby Bouche

            What if you “skull f@*k them?

          • RDG

            How did this conversation devolve to N-word, f***, shit, lynching? You’ve ‘jumped the shark’.

        • mac

          Michael is a man Tracker….probably a feminist troll.

        • Bobby Bouche

          That’s all these feminists and feminized men do nowadays: deny reality/biology ; the reason?…..GREED.

      • mac

        Could I ask why you are pretending to be a man…..troll alert.

  • NeverAGoodTime

    A few factors might influence the marriage rate. First and I think possibly the greatest is women in the work force. During the late sixties through early eighties the all make colleges became coed. It took decades after that for women to fill the college ranks – it was not until the 2000’s that there were as many women graduating medical school as men. As they entered the work force they pursued careers. That consumers time that otherwise could have been used for courtship and a commitment to work can cause havocked on commitment to another person.

    The second aspect is the functional collapse of religion and families. Traditionally people relied on these to “meet their mate” but this has declined over the 80s to present. People rely on other means including on line dating that is frankly not as effective. I have many friends in their thirties wishing they were married but lost in the singles world.

    https://timedotcom.files.wordpress.com/2015/06/chart7.png?w=655&h=873

    Lastly I also think that the longer one lives without marriage the less need exists. There are no longer survival needs (economic or emotional) so less of a need to find someone to help support those needs.

  • totse

    Blame feminism, divorce rape and declining or none existent men right when it comes to child support. The system is setup to exploit men and men are wising up to it. Plus it doesn’t help if everyone is getting fat around you. American women are generally labeled as red flag and best to avoid. So, yeah I predict more decline as things go on.

    • Ian Morris

      Were you trying to sum up all of the stupid things that have been said on this article? If not, you’re probably a superficial prick. Also, the entire population is getting fatter on average; I don’t think it has much of an effect if everyone is heavier.

      • mac

        Another impostor feminist….yawn.

      • Bobby Bouche

        Women have 30% more body fat then men, for child rearing…

    • Bobby Bouche

      I concur…Hit the nail on the head…

  • I would be interested in seeing similar charts with % single / married / divorced

  • Richard S

    One would look at these charts and say it confirms that around 2/3 of marriages end in divorce. People need to know just how misleading that statistic is.

    While people whose marriage never ends are counted only once, people whole get divorced two three or four times are counted two three or four times, skewing the statistics towards divorce.

    If you considering ‘should I ever get married’, you want to know how many *first* marriages end in divorce. Only about 30% and as this article:
    http://psychcentral.com/lib/the-myth-of-the-high-rate-of-divorce/
    points out: “for college educated women who marry after the age of 25 and have established an independent source of income, the divorce rate is only 20 percent!”

    • Moiz

      “Only”.

      lmao. This is what the world has come to.

      Man, I wouldn’t bet with those odds.

      • Good day group, great topic. I think divorce rates rise and marraige falls based on the different consciousness that people have today. Both Women and Men are independent, for the first time is a very long history Genders are equal in terms of opportunity, and with the rise of the internet we are experiencing a lot of exposure. Marraige is a contract designed for security, nothing more nothing less, security being, recourse based, 2 incomes more money done. In the past that distiction was obvious but today not so much. It is not only men who loose out in divorce because many women earn more than their partners and thus also loose out in divorce. Perhaps we should also look at spouse murder, another form of divorce if ever there was one. Also we have become more individual i.e not having religion or state determine the validity of our relationships. I know many people who have been together many years without marriage, the marital status is become less and less relevant. The relationship is ultimately what is important.

        • Moiz

          In the united states, only about 20% of women in marriages earn more than their partner. The figure includes unemployed men, so no, women don’t typically lose out in divorce.

  • Moiz

    Because promiscuity causes divorce rates to spike. Here’s a compilation of studies that back this up:

    http://np.reddit.com/r/PurplePillDebate/comments/2j0jyo/guys_hung_up_on_their_girlfriends_sexual_past/cl7apih

    The data is completely undeniable. Also, there is less conclusive data for it, but I would also back the conclusion that promiscuity increases divorce for men.

    And the spike in divorce risk from promiscuity isn’t minor either. Some graphs for the lazy: https://i.imgur.com/rrLe319.jpg

    • Ethan Trice

      promiscuity *may* not increase divorce for men, but male promiscuity doesn’t work unless you also have females being promiscuous, so both behaviors should be discouraged.

      • Moiz

        Good point.

      • Moiz

        Agreed

  • Poopsy

    I think it’s pretty clear why marriage rates are dropping. More people are finding marriage pointless, unnecessary, and risky. We hear so much about high divorce rates, so why even bother? I am married, and I see benefits to it now, but at the time I got married, I didn’t really care, and didn’t see how it would make things any different. Just harder to break up.

  • Fred22433

    It might turn out that gay marriage is the thing that actually saves marriage.

  • SFCJeff

    This is purely off the top of my head but… Marriage rates started dropping in the 1980s because that was the time that the kids affected/damaged by the staggering increase in divorce rates (no-fault divorce) starting in the early 70s reached the usual age to get married – and looked askance at it instead. And then, thanks to parents/family who went through the whole “summer of love” thing (and were the ones getting divorced and no longer attending church…), society simultaneously decided that simply shacking up was no bad thing. So why bother getting married anyway? Experience said it was painful, and society said it was no big deal.

  • machtyn

    People just aren’t getting married. They’d rather live together than make the full commitment. This also affects the divorce rate (among many societal ills, but that’s a different discussion.)

  • Lazarus

    @rhiever:disqus To your answer your question about why marriage rates have been declining, one only needs to compare your graphs with that of another: the income rates of middle class. http://i.huffpost.com/gen/2511784/original.jpg

  • LISA

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  • WITSION

    Marriage is a gamble, period. No one can predict the future. I know numerous couples who I would have sworn would stay together but guess what. They didn’t. One couple near where I live had been married 45 years and got divorced. It’s a miracle my parents stayed together until my dad died. From the time I was about 3 years old until I was 10 or 12 they raised hell every day. And they continued to raise hell after that but not as often. They separated several times. And I have to say it was mainly my mom’s fault. Maybe they should have gotten divorced. Who can say?

    • Bobby Bouche

      Like Craps & Blackjack, though those are your best odds…….in a casino.

  • lovespell

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    on with the divorce that he was really sorry for all the pain he has
    cost me so that i felt to also write a review to thank Dr okun of
    [email protected] com for saving my home and for those also going
    through the same divorce saga to also reach to him he will help save
    your home as he saved mine he is really a kind and understanding spell
    caster you can contact him with his email: [email protected] com and his
    contact number is +2347060595685

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  • Smart Mike

    I am out here to spreed this good news to the entire world on how i got my ex love back.I was going crazy when my love left me for another guy last month,But when i meet a friend that introduce me to Dr johnson oracle that he serve,I narrated my problem to Dr johnson oracle about how my ex love left me and also how i needed to get a job in a very big company.He only said to me that i have come to the right place were i will be getting my heart desire without any side effect.He told me what i need to do,After it was been done,In the next 2 days,My love called me on the phone and was saying sorry for living me before now and also in the next one week after my love called me to be pleading for forgiveness,I was called for interview in my desired company were i needed to work as the managing director..I am so happy and overwhelmed that i have to tell this to the entire world for what dr johnson have don for me..No problem is too big for him to solve..Contact him direct on: udehomeofsolution@nullgmail.com and get your problems solve like me in any relationship problem..

  • lovespell

    My name is Tori

    when my husband left me for another woman my life was miserable and i was almost short lived until i read some reviews about how to get your husband back then i found Dr relief of relieftemple@nullgmail.com email address that he was a good and passionate spellcaster i was initially confused though cause i saw many addresses of different spellcasters but i was moved to try Dr relief of relieftemple@nullgmail.com so i contacted him told him all that has happened and he listened to me told me all we needed to do to get him back so i followed him due to the relief i got talking with him in the first place so he initiated the return love spell and my husband came back to me four days after my spell was done i must let you know that i paid what i was asked to pay to make it a success Dr relief of relieftemple@nullgmail.com is indeed a miracle worker there are still very true powers that helps wholeheartedly life is meaningful to me once again courtesy relieftemple@nullgmail.com
    his contact is +2348133349055

  • lovespell

    My name is Tori

    when my husband left me for another woman my
    life was miserable and i was almost short lived until i read some
    reviews about how to get your husband back then i found Dr relief of relieftemple@nullgmail.com
    email address that he was a good and passionate spellcaster i was
    initially confused though cause i saw many addresses of different
    spellcasters but i was moved to try Dr relief of relieftemple@nullgmail.com
    so i contacted him told him all that has happened and he listened to me
    told me all we needed to do to get him back so i followed him due to
    the relief i got talking with him in the first place so he initiated the
    return love spell and my husband came back to me four days after my
    spell was done i must let you know that i paid what i was asked to pay
    to make it a success Dr relief of relieftemple@nullgmail.com
    is indeed a miracle worker there are still very true powers that helps
    wholeheartedly life is meaningful to me once again courtesy relieftemple@nullgmail.com

    his contact is +2348133349055

  • Clara Williams

    i want to give thanks to my dr and i will always give thanks to DR OGUDUDU who brought back my love that has left me for 6years within 48hours, i have said about this last week but i promised to always tell people about this every week end so that those that did not read about it last week will read about it this week, i have been looking for how to get this boy back to my life because i love this boy with the whole of my heart, i could not replace him with any body,one day i was watching my television when i saw a lady giving thanks to DR OGUDUDU and telling the world how he helped her i was so shocked i could not believe it because i never taught that there are powers that can bring back lost love, then that was how i decided to contact him too because i do really need my love back,when i contacted him i told him everything and he told me not to worry that my love will surely be back to my arms within 48hours at first i could not believe because i was thinking how could somebody that has gone for 6years come back within 48 hours,so then i decided to watch and see,unbelievable within the next 48hours i got a call from unknown number so i decided to pick the call the next thing i could hear was my loves voice he was pleading and begging me on the phone that i should forgive him that i should forget all that have happened that he did not know what came over him,he promised not to leave for any reason, that he was really sorry for what he did,i was so surprised because i never believed that this could happen,so that was how i accepted his apology and the next morning he came to my house and still pleading for me to forgive, him i told him that everything is okay that i have forgiven him, that was how we started again and now we are married, i promised to say this testimony in radio station, commenting this testimony is still okay but before this month runs out i promise to say this in radio station and i will,sir thank you very much.World please am begging you people to try and thank this man for me,or if you need his help here is his email address drogududuspellhome@nullgmail.com. or call +2348144368825 THANK YOU DR

  • Clara Williams

    i want to give thanks to my dr and i will always give thanks to DR OGUDUDU who brought back my love that has left me for 6years within 48hours, i have said about this last week but i promised to always tell people about this every week end so that those that did not read about it last week will read about it this week, i have been looking for how to get this boy back to my life because i love this boy with the whole of my heart, i could not replace him with any body,one day i was watching my television when i saw a lady giving thanks to DR OGUDUDU and telling the world how he helped her i was so shocked i could not believe it because i never taught that there are powers that can bring back lost love, then that was how i decided to contact him too because i do really need my love back,when i contacted him i told him everything and he told me not to worry that my love will surely be back to my arms within 48hours at first i could not believe because i was thinking how could somebody that has gone for 6years come back within 48 hours,so then i decided to watch and see,unbelievable within the next 48hours i got a call from unknown number so i decided to pick the call the next thing i could hear was my loves voice he was pleading and begging me on the phone that i should forgive him that i should forget all that have happened that he did not know what came over him,he promised not to leave for any reason, that he was really sorry for what he did,i was so surprised because i never believed that this could happen,so that was how i accepted his apology and the next morning he came to my house and still pleading for me to forgive, him i told him that everything is okay that i have forgiven him, that was how we started again and now we are married, i promised to say this testimony in radio station, commenting this testimony is still okay but before this month runs out i promise to say this in radio station and i will,sir thank you very much.World please am begging you people to try and thank this man for me,or if you need his help here is his email address drogududuspellhome@nullgmail.com. or call +2348144368825 THANK YOU DR
    ,

  • Clara Williams

    i want to give thanks to my dr and i will always give thanks to DR OGUDUDU who brought back my love that has left me for 6years within 48hours, i have said about this last week but i promised to always tell people about this every week end so that those that did not read about it last week will read about it this week, i have been looking for how to get this boy back to my life because i love this boy with the whole of my heart, i could not replace him with any body,one day i was watching my television when i saw a lady giving thanks to DR OGUDUDU and telling the world how he helped her i was so shocked i could not believe it because i never taught that there are powers that can bring back lost love, then that was how i decided to contact him too because i do really need my love back,when i contacted him i told him everything and he told me not to worry that my love will surely be back to my arms within 48hours at first i could not believe because i was thinking how could somebody that has gone for 6years come back within 48 hours,so then i decided to watch and see,unbelievable within the next 48hours i got a call from unknown number so i decided to pick the call the next thing i could hear was my loves voice he was pleading and begging me on the phone that i should forgive him that i should forget all that have happened that he did not know what came over him,he promised not to leave for any reason, that he was really sorry for what he did,i was so surprised because i never believed that this could happen,so that was how i accepted his apology and the next morning he came to my house and still pleading for me to forgive, him i told him that everything is okay that i have forgiven him, that was how we started again and now we are married, i promised to say this testimony in radio station, commenting this testimony is still okay but before this month runs out i promise to say this in radio station and i will,sir thank you very much.World please am begging you people to try and thank this man for me,or if you need his help here is his email address drogududuspellhome@nullgmail.com. or call +2348144368825 THANK YOU DR
    ,,,,,

  • carina gomez

    I want to use this medium to thank Dr shiva for helping me to get back my husband back after he left me and the kids for over 5 months to suffer.When he left,he told me that he dont love me again and he has found another woman which he loved.I cry everyday because i love him so much and i decide to go to the net for help when i saw a lady’s post of how Dr Shiva help to get her husband back who divorced her and i just say to myself let me give this Dr shiva on (reunitingexspell2@nullgmail.com) a try and indeed he is wonderful he help me to get my husband back within 2days and my husband return to me and promise to love me forever and beg me for the pain he cost me. I will forever be greatful to you Dr Shiva and i will not stop to publish your name on the internet for people to see because you are so great.You can also email him at (reunitingexspell@nullyahoo.com) and he will also save your marriage. …

  • carina gomez

    I want to use this medium to thank Dr shiva for helping me to get back my husband back after he left me and the kids for over 5 months to suffer.When he left,he told me that he dont love me again and he has found another woman which he loved.I cry everyday because i love him so much and i decide to go to the net for help when i saw a lady’s post of how Dr Shiva help to get her husband back who divorced her and i just say to myself let me give this Dr shiva on (reunitingexspell2@nullgmail.com) a try and indeed he is wonderful he help me to get my husband back within 2days and my husband return to me and promise to love me forever and beg me for the pain he cost me. I will forever be greatful to you Dr Shiva and i will not stop to publish your name on the internet for people to see because you are so great.You can also email him at (reunitingexspell@nullyahoo.com) and he will also save your marriage. …

  • This is very interesting data Randy – thank you for writing this article. I’m curious though, would you be able to shed any light on the current divorce rate among, say, marriages since 2000? It seems like the data is in there somewhere. 🙂 Everyone tosses around that “50% of all marriages end in divorce” without any data points to back it up. I know there are other articles debunking this, but you seem to have some freshly chewed-on data. 🙂

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  • sonali
  • Have you considered taking a deeper dive into factors like legalization of same-sex marriage?

    • That’s a bit further than I plan to delve into this data (for now, anyway), but that sounds like an interesting extension.

      • MarriedOne

        Great job on the data mining! Often there is no substitute for doing the hard work. Regarding your question, my guess is that the answer(s) are somewhere in the above replies, but it would be very difficult to determine the relative weight of contributing factors. Also, there are emotional/spiritual aspects of marriage that are not possible to quantify (love, security, reverence for God, etc.). As for myself, I am happily married, and would feel unfulfilled unmarried. There are two small holes in the dataset (1982-83 and 1995-96). Do you have that data now, and could you update the spreadsheet?

  • Katherina Chia

    I am making this testimony on the internet because i made a vow to myself and DR Camara that i will tell the world about his wonderful spell. Dr Camara has wiped my tear with his spell, He has made me happy again by helping me get my Husband back with his spell after 8 months of divorce. Dr Camara is truly a God on Earth sent by Almighty God to help man kind. My husband left me 8 months ago and be with another woman and he told me he does not love me any more and ever since then i have been looking for solution till I saw so many good testimonies on the net on how Dr Camara helped them to get back there loved once and so i contacted him via email (camaralovespell@nulllive.com) and explained my problems to him and he told me that my husband will come back to me within 2days by begging me to accept him back and sorry for the pains he caused me. I am so glad today because my husband is back to me, he came back to me just after 2days as Dr Camara promise me. contact Dr Camara for help via email: CAMARALOVESPELL@nullLIVE.COM

  • Elizabeth Bella Jane

    After being in relationship with morgan for seven years,he broke up with
    me, I did everything possible to bring him back but all was in vain, I
    wanted him back so much because of the love I have for him, I begged him
    with everything, I made promises but he refused. I explained my problem
    to someone online and she suggested that I should rather contact a
    spell caster that could help me cast a spell to bring him back but I am
    the type that never believed in spell, I had no choice
    than to try it, I mailed the spell caster, and he told me there was no
    problem that everything will be okay before three days, that my ex will
    return to me before three days, he cast the spell and surprisingly in
    the second day, it was around 4pm. My ex called me, I was so surprised, I
    answered the call and all he said was that he was so sorry for
    everything that happened, that he wanted me to return to him, that he
    loves me so much. I was so happy and went to him, that was how we
    started living together happily again. Since then, I have made promise
    that anybody I know that have a relationship problem, I would be of help
    to such person by referring him or her to the only real and powerful
    spell caster who helped me with my own problem and who is different from
    all the fake ones out there. Anybody could need the help of the spell
    caster, his email: drbhabumenrespellhome@nullgmail.com you can email him if
    you need his assistance in your relationship or anything he also help me
    to win $500,000:00 for lotto game.I CAN NEVER STOP TALKING ABOUT YOU
    SIR HIS EMAIL: drbhabumenrespellhome@nullgmail.com

  • Lisa

    Hello everybody, My name is Lisa. I’m from United State. I am happy given this testimony on this forum on how Prophet Iyare helped me to restored my son on drug addiction and getting my husband back to me. every night he comes back drunk,it became a big problem to the extent that my husband abandoned me and our son. every night I cried seeking for Gods will, until a friend of mine introduced me to Prophet Iyare. When i contacted him he told me not to worry that everything will be back to normal in 3days. to my own surprise. a day later my sons attitude changed he quit drugs and drinking,,and my husband came back home to me pleading for forgiveness. Today we are living happily together as a happy family now.All thanks to Prophet Iyare for helping me. May you live long sir. Should in case anybody need his help you can contact him by searching his name on Google ( Prophet Iyare ) and you will get all his details you can use in contacting him and i assure you things will turn around for your good.

  • Lisa

    Hello everybody, My name is Lisa. I’m from United State. I am happy
    given this testimony on this forum on how Prophet Iyare helped me to
    restored my son on drug addiction and getting my husband back to me.
    every night he comes back drunk,it became a big problem to the extent
    that my husband abandoned me and our son. every night I cried seeking
    for Gods will, until a friend of mine introduced me to Prophet Iyare.
    When i contacted him he told me not to worry that everything will be
    back to normal in 3days. to my own surprise. a day later my sons
    attitude changed he quit drugs and drinking,,and my husband came back
    home to me pleading for forgiveness. Today we are living happily
    together as a happy family now.All thanks to Prophet Iyare for helping
    me. May you live long sir. Should in case anybody need his help you can
    contact him by searching his name on Google ( Prophet Iyare ) and you
    will get all his details you can use in contacting him and i assure you
    things will turn around for your good. ,

  • nice stats about marriage and divorce. Dont know what is the actual reason for this all.

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  • mac

    The only raping being done is by the Family Court system on the men…..if we teach young dudes anything its DO NOT GET MARRIED or you WILL be fleeced of your wealth, your kids and your life.

  • Richard Pope III

    The spread of birth control is a factor. 100 years ago, unwanted pregnancies were a driver of marriage rates (biblically, it was suitable punishment for pre-marital sex). Today, there are more options, whether to prevent the pregnancy, end it early and/or single-motherhood. The 1970s spike in divorce can be attributed to the rise of female opportunity in society, which makes them less willing to take the worst aspects of marriage (abuse, rape, infidelity) that generations before would allow.

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  • Interesting. Thanks for sharing. You ask why marriage rates have been declining. As the co-author of a book on marriage, “The New I Do; Reshaping Marriage for Skeptics, Realists and Rebels,” I have spent a lot of time in the past two years researching marriage.

    For one, we no longer need to be married to have sex, kids, live together or financial stability as our parents and grandparents did. Marriage was a duty for them, for us it’s a choice, one of many since women can be financially stable. My recently deceased aunt married at age 18 to get out of her house; who does that now? Now women can live well on their own and many want to remain single; they would have been stigmatized in decades past.

    We also want different things from a marriage partner now; in decades past, a man had to be a good provider. Now, he has to be a great dad, BFF, lover, educated, an equal, a soul mate — we want a lot from our partners. And because there are fewer of those men around, there are a number of 30 and 40-something women who would like to marry but can’t find, in their eyes, a marriageable man.

    Gen X-ers were the first generation to be hit with the brief rise in divorce after no-fault divorce was passed; their experience as latch-key kids and feuding parents (there were few resources for divorcing parents back then and no “conscious uncoupling” either.

    We’re also living a lot longer, and many of us wonder if we can actually live with, and just have sex with, one person for 70, 80 years.

    And, we have to look at the very real financial reasons, thanks to the growing economic divide in this country; there are more single moms that ever before, many who live in poverty. There is a dearth of marriageable men for them, and marrying an unsuitable man would drag them down even more. And for millennials, many saddled with college debt, marriage seems out of their grasp for now.

    Finally, the institution is an outdated, shame-filled, one-size-fits-all institution that no longer fits who we are and how we live today; it was basically a contract to protect property and inheritance. We marry for love, which “Marriage, a History” author Stephanie Coontz has noted has made the whole institution unstable.

  • Stephen Beres

    Decline in marriage rates have several factors. More women are financially independent than ever before. Cohabitating is not as stigmatic. Remaining single is not considered as an oddity it used to be. (Still single at his/her age? Must be homosexual or a loser or a player) The dismal divorce rate makes people more reluctant to commit to marriage, which has a greater than 50% of failing. The “Me generation” sought Self-Fulfilliment over commited relationships. Fewer people want or can afford children.

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  • Alice Brad

    I’ve never been a huge believer but when it turned out that love spell was my last hope, I gave it a try because my lover stopped talking to me, after begging and pleading with him I realized that nothing was working out, he left me to meet another girl, I had no choice than to ordered a reunite love spell from dradimalovespell@nullgmail.com to help me get my lover back, after the spell was cast, the results was fantastic, I never expected what I saw, I’m so grateful I came across this spell caster. My love left his other girlfriend and we came back together. DR. ADIMA changed my life and made me a true believer. I want to use this opportunity to thank this great man called DR. ADIMA for what he has done for me and my boyfriend. This great man has brought happiness and joy back again to my life. I will advice every one out there that has a similar issue, and also any one who is willing to get his or her lover back and any one who wants to get pregnant or cure illness of any kind to quickly contact this email;dradimalovespell@nullgmail.com ,.

  • Here are my source BTW: page 8 http://www.cdc.gov and page 8 (report page 8, pdf page 14)- https://vidhya360.in And for anyone curious about men in the same age bracket the average height and weight in 1960 was 5″9′ 163.9 lbs vs 5″9″ 183.9 lbs in 2010.

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  • Brandy Melanie

    MUST READ!!!
    Hi, I have been with my boyfriend (he’s a Japanese) for 3 months. He was a married man and has a daughter. He has been talking about divorcing his wife and choosing a life with me. He even told me how he wants me to be his future wife. Things were going beautifully great. Then one day, I was talking to my boss (whom I had an affair with before I met my bf) and we ended up flirting again and I got mischievous and sent him a naked photo. I forgot about this the following days and didn’t even think to remove any evidence of that text message. But last month, my boyfriend went through my phone and read everything. And told me that it will be our last day together.I was guilty, remorseful, devastated and heartbroken at the same time. I didn’t want that to be our last day, and I sent him a message that I won’t say goodbye but I suspect he has already deleted and blocked me off all channels. I have no idea what’s going to happen next, and no idea what to do. I had just one female friend to talk to and which i did and she told me she was going through a breakup the past week but its Akim who brought her bf back with a love spell. I absolutely did not have any other choice, i talked with Akim and he helped me with his thing and now my lover is back in my arms. If you are going through such situation or any challenges in life, just talk with Akim now and i am sure he will help you out. Get to him on email:prayerstosavemarriage@nullhotmail.com 🙂

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  • I know! I know! It’s because marriage sucks.

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  • brandy nora

    “My life is back!!! After 8 years of Broken marriage, my husband left me and our two twins . I felt like my life was about to end i almost committed suicide, i was emotionally down for a very long time. Thanks to a spell caster called prophet Abulele which i met online on one faithful day, as I was browsing through the internet, I was searching for a good spell caster that can solve my problems. I came across a lot of testimonies about this particular spell caster. Some people testified that he brought their ex lover back, some testified that he restores wombs, cured HIV and other sickness, some testified that he can cast a spell to stop divorce and so on. i also come across one particular testimony,it was about a woman called Christina, she testified about how prophet Abulele brought back her husband in less than 7 days and reverse the effect of their little boys cancer, and at the end of her testimony she wrote prophet. Abulele’s e-mail ad prophetess. After reading all these, I decided to give prophet. Abulele a try. I contacted him via email and explained my problem to him. In just 5 days, my husband came back to me. We solved our issues, and we are even happier than before. prophet, Abulele is really a gifted man and i will not stop publishing good about him because he is a wonderful man… If you have a problem and you are looking for a real and genuine spell caster to solve all your problems for you, contact prophet. Abulele and he will provide an everlasting solution to your problem. Here’s his contact: prophetabulelehealingtemple@nullgmail.com

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  • Elena Alaxandra

    I never knew people still have powers and make things happen this way. My name is Elena Alexandra, my Husband Alexandra left me for another girl for three months ever since then my life have been filled with pains sorrow and heart break because he was my first love , A friend of mine Stephanie told me she saw some testimonies of this great Dr. Luke Lele Spell Temple (drlelespelltemple@nulloutlook.com) that he can bring back my lover within some few days, i laugh it out and said i am not interested but because of the love my friend had for me, She consulted the great priest on my behalf and to my greatest surprise after three days my Husband called me for the very first time after three years that he is missing me and that he is so sorry for everything he made me pass through. i still can’t believe it, because it highly unbelievable it just too real to be real. Thank you Dr. Luke Lele (drlelespelltemple@nulloutlook.com) for bringing back my Husband and also to my lovely friend who interceded on my behalf, for anyone who might need the help of this great priest you can contact the great Herbalist and a spell caster on (drlelespelltemple@nulloutlook.com)

  • Now this is going to sound like fatpeoplehate or misogynistic, but hear
    me out. The prime age bracket for people to get married in is 20-29.
    That is when people tend to peak in terms of physical attractiveness and
    fertility. In 1960 the average height and weight for women aged 20-29
    was 5″4′ 127 lbs. In 2010 it was 5″5′ 161 lbs, a 1 inch 34 lbs
    increase.

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About this blog

This blog is my labor of love, and I've spent hundreds of hours working on the projects that you'll read about here. Generally, I write about data visualization and machine learning, and sometimes explore out-of-the-box projects at the intersection of the two. I hope you enjoy my projects as much as I have.

If you would like to use one of my graphs on your website or in a publication, please feel free to do so with appropriate attribution, but I would appreciate it if you email me first to let me know.

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